Macro-economic Forecasting 2022 | Banque de France | 26 June 2022 | Paris
Venue
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| Event Date |
Mon Jun 27 CEST - Thu Jun 30 CEST (over 2 years ago)
In your timezone (EST): Sun Jun 26 6:00pm - Wed Jun 29 6:00pm |
| Location | Paris |
| Region | EMEA |
Details
This seminar will focus on forecasting tools and models used mainly at Banque de France but as well as other French economic administrations to monitor short-term development or run longer-term economic forecasts especially in the context of Euro-system projection exercises.
Content
The seminar will address in particular the following topics:
• How to organize an integrated forecasting process
• FR-BDF, the semi-structural forecasting model of Banque de France
• Use of surveys and nowcasting models
• Forecasting in times of crisis: the example of covid-19 and the use of high-frequency data
• Inflation forecast
• Fiscal forecast
• Assessment of the International environment
• Post-mortems of macroeconomic forecasts produced with large models
Participants
This seminar is intended for central bank economists. Candidates should have a basic knowledge of econometrics methods and some experience in modelling. They are expected to interact actively during the seminar and may make presentations on their own experience.
Speakers
2021 Past Speakers
Louis Bê Duc,
International Banking and Finance Institute
Camille Thubin
Directorate Business, Development and Macroeconomic, Forecasting
Matthieu Lemoine
Deputy Head, Macroeconomic Studies and Forecasting
Paul Vertier
Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting Division
Yannick Kalantzis
Deputy-Director, Business Development and Macroeconomic Forecasting
Barbara Castelletti Font
Short-term Economic Diagnosis Division
Erwan Andaloussi
Short-term Economic Diagnosis Division
Raul Sampognaro
Observatoire, Français des Conjonctures Économiques
Sophie Haincourt
Head of International, Macroeconomic Studies Division
Laurent Ferrara
SKEMA business School
Jean-François Ouvrard
Head of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting Division
Katja Schmidt
Head, Fiscal Policy Division
Stéphane Dées
Directorate Business Development and Macroeconomic Forecasting
Riccardo Zago
External Trade and Structural Policies Division
Antonin Aviat
Deputy director in charge of Macroeconomic diagnosis and Forecasting, French Treasury
Anissa Saumtally
Deputy director in charge of Macroeconomic diagnosis and Forecasting, French Treasury
Stefano Siviero
Deputy Director, General, Market and Payment System, Banca d'Italia