Francesca joined Insight in June 2019. She is responsible for the oversight of Insight’s dedicated team of currency investment professionals which provides currency solutions ranging from foreign exchange hedging to currency alpha.
Francesca Fornasari, head of currency solutions at Insight, explained why she has avoided Bitcoin and where she sees the future of digital assets.
BNY Mellon says it’s the first global bank to allow clients to hold, transfer and issue digital currencies. But one of its own asset management units isn’t so sure about Bitcoin.
The dollar rose for a fourth straight session on Wednesday, as selling momentum eased with stocks under pressure, but positive vaccine news and prospects of more U.S. fiscal stimulus next year should temper gains on the greenback.
As institutional investors seek diversification and as bitcoin passed the $1 trillion market cap mark earlier this year, Fornasari said Insight, like many of its peers, was forced to ask itself if bitcoin was "becoming too big to be ignored."
She said that the average institutional investor should assess whether Bitcoin is going to become a mainstay of the payments system.
While bitcoin is the largest and most liquid cryptocurrency, giving it a "first-mover advantage," Fornasari said she is skeptical that it will take significant market share as a payments system because of its high transaction fees and volatility.
"Even though we trade a fair amount of pretty volatile assets, there's nothing in the universe that we trade that has the volatility of 100%," Fornasari said of bitcoin.
As we progress into 2021, it is not clear that the U.S. is at such a disadvantage to generate a significant drop in the dollar beyond what we’re experiencing, which may last a few months, and not necessarily a longer multi-year bearish trend.
The vaccine is good news no doubt, but our general sense is that rollout will be slower than people and the markets expect.