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Keith Gaddie, PhD

Hoffman Chair - American Ideal, Professor at Texas Christian University
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Dr. Gaddie is the Hoffman Chair of the American Ideal and Professor at Texas Christian University, a university with a mission to educate individuals to think and act as ethical leaders and responsible citizens in the global community. He is experienced in democracy, politics and architecture, southern politics, and voting rights.

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  • Trump's "Flooding the Zone": A Strategic Distraction Tactic
    Dr. Gaddie explains that Trump's "flooding the zone" is a distraction tactic, fragmenting opposition focus and exploiting media's reactive nature. "It forces opponents away from a coherent attack," he says. Media and opposition must shift focus from personality-driven to strategy-driven politics to counteract this tactic effectively.
  • Prediction Markets vs. Polls: Which Predicts Elections Better?
    Dr. Gaddie explains that prediction markets, driven by informed opinions, often outperform polls in elections. However, they can be manipulated by large bets. Discrepancies arise as prediction markets react faster to events than polls. While prediction markets are a modern gauge of opinion, polls remain due to their low cost and media narrative support.
  • Congressional Elections: Why They Matter More Than You Think
    Dr. Gaddie emphasizes, "Congressional elections are very important; you can't make policy without Congress." He notes the closely divided chambers and the potential for any outcome, including a Republican trifecta or both chambers flipping. "Literally anything can happen," he adds, highlighting the unpredictability and importance of these elections.
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  • It probably doesn’t move a lot of votes, but in particular states with particular swing votes, it could matter around the margins. So, in particularly tight races, it can tip things back from one direction to the other.

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